Interactive scenario model

Install Model

Explore acquisition through on-air QR codes and social posts. The promotion figures in the original proposal inform the baseline; conversion rates and promotional lifts are assumptions to test.

Acquisition estimates are not deduplicated. Repeat QR scans and overlap between channels can overstate unique installs; launch reporting will measure unique players and replace these assumptions with observed conversion.

179,848
Combined Modeled Annual Installs
177,450
from QR scans
2,398
from social posts

In-show promotion lift

1.30x

An assumed multiplier for on-air endorsement across QR and social channels, applied after each channel’s own response lifts. A value of 1× means no added lift.

Current multiplier: 1.30x. This is an assumption, not a measured result.
In-Show QR Scans

QR Scan Inputs

260
260 episodes is the existing annual planning assumption.
2,400
Existing model basis: 624,000 scans ÷ 260 episodes = 2,400 scans per episode.
5.0%
5% starting assumption from the supplied AFV campaign data (600 installs / 12,000 scans); not measured conversion for 25 Words or Less.
Supplied campaign figures
  • Ad Break 1 — 200K+ scans, 56K+ unique devices
  • Ad Break 2 — 133K+ scans, 26K+ unique devices
  • Ad Break 3 — 289K+ scans, 68K+ unique devices
123K+ unique devices scanned in the supplied campaign summary (some scanned more than once, across breaks or episodes); 107K+ behind-the-scenes content plays with a 75% completion rate. These are inherited reference figures, not independently verified. The rounded ad-break values total 622K+, while the model uses the supplied 624K total; the source totals require reconciliation. Unique-device counts overlap across placements.

QR Reward Impact

1.25x
Assumed change in scan volume when the promotion includes gift-card rewards. A value of 1× means no increase.
3.5x
Assumed change in the share of scans that lead to an install. A value of 1× keeps baseline conversion unchanged.

QR Scan Results

177,450
Modeled Annual Installs
+469% vs. model baseline (31,200)
Baseline Scans
624,000
Modeled Scans
780,000
Baseline Downloads
31,200
Conversion Before In-Show Lift
17.5%
Scans
1.25x
Downloads
5.69x
Baseline = episodes × scans per episode × assumed scan-to-install conversion. Modeled installs apply scan-volume, conversion and in-show promotion lifts. The conversion shown is before the in-show multiplier. These are planning assumptions, not a forecast.
Social Media Posts

Social Post Inputs

52
Assumes one weekly post across 25 Words or Less's channels.
1.0%
Planning assumption: the percentage of reached viewers who click a link.
20%
Planning assumption: the percentage of app-store visitors who install.
    Estimated reach per post across Facebook, Instagram, TikTok, YouTube & X, from the supplied follower counts multiplied by assumed reach rates: 5,913/post.

    Social Reward Impact

    3.0x
    Assumed increase in clicks when posts feature rewards. A value of 1× means no increase.

    Social Post Results

    2,398
    Modeled Annual Installs
    +290% vs. no-lift baseline (615)
    Baseline Annual Clicks
    3,075
    Modeled Annual Clicks
    9,225
    Baseline Installs
    615
    CTR Before In-Show Lift
    3.0%
    Clicks
    3.00x
    Installs
    3.90x
    Baseline = the supplied follower counts across Facebook, Instagram, TikTok, YouTube & X (200,773 total followers across accounts, not unique people), weekly posts using assumed reach and click-through rates, with no reward-driven lift. Modeled installs apply the click-rate lift, store conversion and in-show promotion multiplier.

    See this scenario’s revenue and partner share →